MAT330/681 LECTURE 6 (2/22/2021): BAYES' FORMULA AND PROBLEMS
• Announcements: Please remember that HW3 is due by Wednesday, 11.59pm EST, as usual.
• Video 1: Bayes' Formula: Download file or watch below
• Video 2: Efficacy of multiple-choice exams: Download file or watch below
• Video 3: Monty Hall problem explained: Download file or watch below
A few extra things regarding Monty Hall:
• Play the Monty Hall problem yourself (or run a large simulation on demand): here
• A website that explains Monty Hall in many different nice ways: here
• Are pigeons better at understanding Monty Hall than mathematicians? here
• Video 4: Comparing COVID tests, and the issue of false positives: Download file or watch below
• Video 5: How to improve the above poor performance of COVID tests? Download file or watch below
Sources:
• CDC information on COVID tests: here
• Information on false positives for COVID tests: here